I am sitting here on a plane to the
Middle East (03/25/2015).
A client of ours asked for a workshop
in Change Management their senior-most people. It is a typical large
corporation in this region of the world: Controlled by a family, with each
of its branches not having too much to do with each other. It is
basically involved in real estate, construction, finance, production and
consumer products. It also is well-established, with over 10,000
employees.
In our discussions with them, it became
apparent they had gone through significant changes in their leadership
structure, and had not fully come to grips with the present decline in world
oil prices. They already had an extensive training program for senior
management, but it had not yet included training in how to manage change.
The negotiations went well, and we were
customizing our content to their unique circumstances as usual. We
sent our preliminary proposals of work content to the client, and that is
when a problem arose.
You see, we do not use the standard
�develop the vision, mission and values� way of strategy and change.
Part of the reason for this is that a vision statement for a company is
often just that: a statement, with little actual action involved afterwards.
Another reason is that many in their senior management manage to get the
vision and company mission mixed up; which is common is many organizations.
A vision should not be a merely a vision for the company as it is today, it
should also be a vision of the future for what the company may have to
become. It is then that the company�s purpose and mission to
make that future environment/world come about. A third reason was that
we have difficulties with a company visions that is "idealized", with little
in the way of contingency planning.
As a way around this, we have helped
many of our clients develop multiple scenarios for the future; some of them
I have to admit are not so rosy. They can then change their mission concept,
internal systems and processes to maximize company success should any of
these come about.
That is where the problem arose.
Obviously, scenarios are designed to be
thought-provoking, and to get management to think and act in different ways.
Scenarios by themselves do not actually do much more than that: They
have to be integrated into possible planning and systems changes.
Scenarios do not just encourage good process: The content must be
realistic as well.
Unfortunately, some large financial
companies used scenario planning just before the Great Recession. It
sounded like a good idea, but they did not include any scenario where there
would be a cash-crunch or cascading/escalating financial problems and I
really wanted to avoid that blind spot with this particular client.
As many know, the king of Saudi Arabia
has recently died, and his elderly brother has taken his place. Given that
he is 79, and shows signs of frailty, it is a good possibility that he will
not be around in five or ten years. It should be said also that the crown
prince is also not a spring chicken, and the deputy crown prince may merely
be something of a placeholder. He is the first in the line of succession
from the younger generation, but no one really knows how much power he has
or will have in the future.
As a result, if and when the current
king dies, there is a significant possibility of a power struggle in the
Kingdom.
This was mentioned in the scenarios we
developed. This is when the client got a bit squeamish, not wanting to bring
up anything that might be too controversial. I thought a great deal
about this, and recommended that the controversial language be kept out, but
left it up to him (the customer) about whether to include it or not.
As of this moment, he is undecided.
I truly hope he makes the right call, and will not regret it when what is
today controversial becomes a reality ~ the consequences which they suffer
from.